Main risks
The main risks inherent in the BNP Paribas Issuance B.V. (NL) Lock-in Certificate MSCI World 2030 in USD are detailed in the brochure on page 12. Investors are advised to consult the risk factors set out in the Legal Documentation. These include:
Credit Risk: By purchasing this Certificate, investors are exposed to the credit risk of the Issuer and the Guarantor. If either fails to meet their payment obligations, investors risk losing both their invested capital at maturity and any potential redemption premium in USD. Should the Guarantor experience serious solvency problems, the Certificates may be wholly or partially cancelled or converted into equity instruments (shares), depending on a decision by the regulator to proceed with debt restructuring (bail-in)¹⁰ with the aim of avoiding bankruptcy of the Guarantor, in accordance with the provisions of the Directive 2014/59/EU, as amended by Directive (EU) 2019/879 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 May 2019 (the «Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive» or «BRRD»). In such a scenario, investors may incur losses, whereas more senior creditors, such as deposit holders, may not.
Currency Risk: This Certificate is issued in US dollars. This implies that, upon maturity or in the event of resale prior to maturity, investors could receive an amount in USD which, when converted into EUR, may be lower than the amount in EUR initially invested depending on fluctuations in the exchange rate and the exchange fees applied at the time of conversion. Currency risk is particularly high for investors without a USD-denominated account, as their redemption amount will be automatically converted into EUR.
Risk of poor performance of the underlying and of limited performance: The potential redemption premium depends on the performance of the Index. If the Index performs poorly, returns on the Certificate may be lower than those of a risk-free product.
The final return is capped at 40.00%, i.e. a gross annual actuarial return of 6.96%⁹, even if the Index outperforms this level.
Index risk: Should an event occur that affects the underlying Index, as listed in the Base Prospectus (including, but not limited to, deletion, disruption or modification), the calculation agent (BNP Paribas Financial Markets SNC) may, if necessary, take various actions such as, in particular, adjusting the Index, substituting the Index or asking the issuer to redeem the Certificate under the conditions provided for in the Base Prospectus. In the Certificate is redeemed by the Issuer:
- if the event affecting the Index is a case of force majeure, the redemption will be made early at market value (see the paragraph “Possible early redemption”);
- in the event is not a case of force majeure, but is the consequence of an external event not attributable to the Issuer and which would materially change the economics of the contract, the Issuer will give investors the option either to redeem the Certificate early at market value, or to redeem the Certificate on the maturity date of at least 100% of the nominal value of the Certificate in accordance with the provisions of the Base Prospectus. For more information regarding these risks, please refer to the Base Prospectus and its supplements.
Liquidity risk: These Certificates will not be listed on a regulated market. BNP Paribas Financial Markets SNC will provide liquidity by buying them, except in exceptional circumstances. Investors wishing to sell their securities before maturity must sell them at the price determined by BNP Paribas Financial Markets SNC based on the current market parameters and taking into account the applicable fees and taxes. For more details, please refer to the Fees and Taxes section on page 10 of the brochure. The resale price could be lower than the nominal value per Certificate (1,000 USD), which would result in a capital loss in the event of resale before maturity.
Risk of fluctuation in the price of the Certificate : Investors should be aware that the price of the Certificates may, during the term of this Certificate, be lower than the amount of capital invested (excluding fees). Investors could therefore suffer a capital loss if the Certificates are sold before maturity. In addition, they must ensure that their investment horizon corresponds to the investment period of the Certificate. The right to repayment of 100% of the capital in USD is valid only on the maturity date. Until maturity, the price of the Certificate may be volatile, due to changes in market parameters and in particular changes in the Index, interest rates and the perception of the credit risk of the Issuer and the Guarantor. The longer the maturity, the greater the impact the different parameters can have. All else being equal, an increase in rates will result in a decrease in the value of the Certificate and vice versa.
Risk of early redemption in cases of force majeure: If a force majeure event makes it permanently impossible to maintain the Certificates (such as, for example, if it is illegal or impossible for the Issuer to fulfil its obligations under the Certificates), the Issuer may notify the holders of the Certificates of early redemption at their market value. In this case, no fees, other than the unavoidable fees for being able to reimburse investors for their market value, may be charged by the Issuer.
Inflation risk: An increase in inflation reduces the real return on investment. The risk of a negative real interest rate (nominal rate adjusted for inflation) becomes more significant during periods of high inflation.